USD/JPY

Dollar strengthens ahead of key payrolls release,Middle East turmoil helps

The U.S. dollar rose Thursday, benefiting from robust employment data as well as the uncertainty caused by the Middle East turmoil.

At 04:30 ET (08:30 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.2% higher to 101.597, not far removed from its recent three-week high.

Strong labor market data boosts dollar

The dollar has received a boost from Wednesday's ADP private payrolls report showing a larger-than-expected 143,000 increase in U.S. jobs last month.

This followed Tuesday's stronger-than-expected reading on U.S. job openings, and has raised expectations for a healthy nonfarm payrolls reading on Friday, which could result in an adjustment in the market's view of the likely pace of Fed easing.

"The pricing for year-end Fed funds continues to largely embed a 50bp cut in either November or December, meaning room for further re-alignment with the Fed's less dovish rhetoric and consequently upside risks for the dollar," said analysts at ING, in a note.

"We sense that the bar for a dollar-negative reaction to US data today and tomorrow is probably higher after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent pushback against 50bp reductions."

The market currently sees around a 37% chance of another 50 basis-point U.S. rate cut on Nov. 7, according to the CME Group's (NASDAQ:CME) FedWatch Tool, following the Fed's outsized reduction last month.

The safe-haven U.S. currency also saw demand as tensions escalated in the Middle East following Iran's ballistic missile attack on Israel. (Cay)

Source : Investing.com

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