USD/JPY

Yen Set for Weekly Drop as US Recession Worries Fade

The yen edged up against the dollar on Friday but looked on course for its biggest weekly decline since June after a slew of U.S. economic data eased fears of a recession and supported bets of gradual easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve.

The dollar was softer against the yen at 148.73, but hovered close to Thursday's high of 149.40, a level last seen on Aug. 2.

Risk-sensitive currencies such as sterling were firm as the improved economic outlook spurred a rally in equities.

Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits dropped to a one month-low last week and U.S. retail sales increased by the most in 1-1/2 years in July, dashing expectations that the Fed could cut interest rates by a super-sized 50 basis points (bps) next month.

Traders are convinced the Fed will slash rates on Sept. 18, but had debated the size of the reduction after surprisingly soft U.S. payrolls data had pushed the odds of the larger 50 basis-point cut to 71% in early August.

Odds for such a move currently stand at 28%, down from 36% a day earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

The dollar index , which measures the greenback against six major peers, eased 0.2% to 102.84 as of 0830 GMT.

The Japanese yen has continued to draw eyes, and with losses of about 1.4%, the currency was on track for its biggest weekly drop since in almost two months.

The move was almost as dramatic as its surge to as strong as 141.675 yen per dollar on Aug. 5 as the Bank of Japan's surprise rate hike, combined with the flare-up in U.S. recession worries, sparked an aggressive unwinding of yen-financed carry trades.

Some calm was restored after influential BOJ deputy governor Shinichi Uchida said the central bank would not hike rates when markets are volatile, and there are signs traders have been rebuilding short positions.

Source : Reuters

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