The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades with caution against its major peers on Tuesday. The British currency struggles as United Kingdom (UK) Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves is prepared to unveil the Spring Statement on Wednesday.
It would be interesting to watch how Reeves will promote economic prosperity, given his pledge of no more taxes and the maintenance of fiscal rules.
After the Autumn Budget, Chancellor Reeves told at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) conference in November that public services have to survive on their own means. Reeves clarified that the government will rely on foreign financing only for investment purposes, not to address day-to-day spending.
Also, she confirmed no more tax raises after facing backlash from the corporate sector for increasing employers' contributions to National Insurance (NI) from 13.8% to 15%. This indicates that Reeves will be forced to cut fiscal spending heavily.
Such a scenario would diminish consumer inflation expectations, prompting expectations of more interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE) in the near term.
On Wednesday, investors will also focus on the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February, which will influence market expectations for the BoE's monetary policy outlook. The headline inflation is estimated to decelerate to 2.9% year-over-year (YoY), slower than the 3% increase seen in January. In the same period, the core CPI – which excludes volatile food and energy prices – is estimated to have grown by 3.6% from the prior reading of 3.7%.
Source: FXStreet
